This is probably the hardest elimination match of Round 4 to predict because neither side has given us many reasons to trust them. Both rosters have underperformed, both have dropped series they should have won, and both are now one loss away from going home.

The difference for me is that Liquid’s problems look more fixable. The structure isn’t completely broken – the firepower simply hasn’t shown up. EliGE has been quieter than expected, while siuhy has struggled badly in the losses against BetBoom and MIBR, having 13 kills across both maps which is too low of an impact, even for an IGL. If those two even return to an average level, Liquid instantly become a much more dangerous team.

HEROIC are not playing well either, but their issues feel less temporary. The losses against Sharks and Lynn Vision exposed a team struggling to convert good positions into victories. Their win over Gaimin Gladiators stopped the bleeding, but it didn’t really answer any questions. This should be messy, but Liquid’s ceiling remains higher, and that gives them the edge.